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No number of confirming observations proves a general statement. One contrary observation refutes it.
Verification is the demonstration that a statement is true. This page states what is settled about it, what the literature leaves out, and how the question is handled in practice once the philosophical programme failed.
Every heading is a question. The answer stands directly under it, in plain words.
What is verification?
Verification is the demonstration or confirmation that a statement is true. For particular statements it is achievable. For general ones it is the problem this whole page is about.
What is a hypothesis?
A hypothesis is a supposed statement whose correctness is to be tested empirically. It is formulated so that a test could go either way. A supposition no test could touch is not a hypothesis.
What is falsification?
Falsification is the refutation of a hypothesis by a contrary observation. It is logically decisive where verification is not. One counter-instance settles a general claim; a million instances do not.
What is critical rationalism?
Critical rationalism holds that general statements can only ever be refuted, never established. It replaces the search for proof with the search for error. It is the position that followed the failure of verificationism.
Who was Karl Popper?
Karl Popper argued that verification of general statements is impossible and that falsification is the workable criterion. He shifted the question from how to confirm to how to expose. The shift is the origin of modern scientific method as it is taught.
What is logical empiricism?
Logical empiricism held that the correctness of hypotheses could be established by observation. It was the programme Popper opposed. Its collapse is the reason the rest of this page exists.
What is positivism?
Positivism assumes that empirical claims admit of verification. It is the wider tradition behind logical empiricism. Its appeal is that it makes knowledge look secure.
What is verificationism?
Verificationism defines the meaning of a sentence by the method of its verification. A sentence with no verification procedure is not false but meaningless. The criterion turned out to be unable to satisfy itself.
What was the Vienna Circle?
The Vienna Circle used verificationism to separate scientific statements from metaphysics. It was the most consequential philosophical programme of its century and it failed on its own terms. What survives is the demand that claims be testable.
What is the problem of induction?
The problem of induction shows that no number of particular cases logically warrants a general statement. It is the reason verification cannot work for laws. Every practical method since is a response to it.
What is a criterion of meaning?
A criterion of meaning separates scientific statements from untestable metaphysics. It answers which sentences are candidates for truth at all. The attempt to state one precisely is what broke the programme.
What is corroboration?
Corroboration describes how well a hypothesis has survived severe tests. It is deliberately not a measure of probable truth. A well-corroborated theory is one that has been attacked and has held, so far.
Who was Rudolf Carnap?
Rudolf Carnap developed successive versions of verificationism, weakening the criterion each time to save it. The sequence is instructive: each repair narrowed what the criterion could do. He is the record of an honest retreat.
What is a demarcation criterion?
A demarcation criterion marks the line between empirical science and what lies outside it. Popper proposed falsifiability. The line matters because it decides what has to answer to evidence.
What is validation?
Validation checks whether something meets its intended requirements, which is a technical rather than an epistemological question. It is routinely confused with verification. Building the thing right and building the right thing are different checks.
What does the literature on verification leave out?
It stays with the historical controversy between verificationism and falsificationism. It leaves out everything that replaced both in practice: confirmation theory, probabilistic updating, the statistical machinery of testing, and the contemporary evidence that the machinery is not working as intended.
What is a protocol sentence?
A protocol sentence is the record of an observation, taken as the base on which theory rests. The debate about whether such sentences are theory-free was the central dispute of the Vienna Circle. Accounts mention the school without the dispute that broke it.
What is confirmation theory?
Confirmation theory asks how and how much evidence supports a hypothesis, rather than whether it proves it. Texts stay with the historical controversy. The question moved on and the accounts did not.
What is the Duhem-Quine thesis?
The Duhem-Quine thesis holds that hypotheses are tested only together with auxiliary assumptions. Texts consider hypotheses in isolation. When a test fails, the thesis says the test cannot tell you what failed.
What is Bayesian confirmation?
Bayesian confirmation updates a degree of belief in the light of evidence, by a stated rule. It is the formal successor to the whole dispute. It is absent from the accounts entirely.
What is Hempel's paradox?
Hempel's paradox shows that a green leaf confirms the statement that all ravens are black, if confirmation works as stated. It exposes a real defect in naive confirmation. It is not mentioned.
Who was Otto Neurath?
Otto Neurath opposed the idea of theory-free protocol sentences within the Vienna Circle itself. Beside Carnap he is the other side of the central argument. Only one side is reported.
What is falsifiability?
Falsifiability is the property of a statement that some possible observation would refute it. Texts name the act of falsification and skip the property. The property is what can be assessed before any test is run.
What is construct validity?
Construct validity asks whether an instrument measures the concept it claims to measure. It is the methodological form of the verification question. The purely logical treatment has no place for it.
What is statistical hypothesis testing?
Statistical hypothesis testing is how hypotheses are actually examined, using samples and error probabilities. It is the practical descendant of the whole dispute. It appears nowhere in the philosophical accounts.
What is a type I error?
A type I error is rejecting a true hypothesis. It quantifies the risk that a refutation is itself mistaken. Purely logical treatments have no room for a refutation that might be wrong.
What is operationalisation?
Operationalisation is the translation of an abstract concept into observable indicators. It is the step at which a hypothesis becomes testable at all. It is skipped in accounts that stay at the level of sentences.
Who was Alfred Tarski?
Alfred Tarski gave a formal theory of truth separating object language from metalanguage. It is the technical resolution of problems the Vienna Circle wrestled with informally. It is not mentioned.
What is model checking?
Model checking is automated verification of whether a system satisfies a specification. It is the one domain where verification in the strict sense actually succeeds. Applied logic solved a version of the problem philosophy abandoned.
What is the replication crisis?
The replication crisis is the contemporary finding that a large share of published results do not reproduce. It is the empirical verdict on how testing is practised. Accounts of verification predate it and have not absorbed it.
What is triangulation here?
Triangulation secures a finding by combining independent methods. It is the practical substitute for proof. Agreement between methods that fail differently is the closest thing to verification available.
So can anything be verified?
Particular statements about observable matters can be. General statements cannot, and no accumulation of instances changes that. What replaces proof is a test that could have failed and did not, reported so that somebody else can run it.
What does this mean for what you publish?
A claim that no observation could contradict cannot be supported by any observation either. Stating what would count against a claim is the single move that turns an assertion into something checkable. It is also what makes it worth citing.
